Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.037601 0.043615 0.049922 0.056999 0.064687 0.072758 0.081840
2025-03-23 0.028410 0.037133 0.046941 0.058630 0.072032 0.086780 0.104097
2025-03-30 0.022170 0.032382 0.044600 0.059914 0.078235 0.099120 0.124402
2025-04-06 0.018650 0.030026 0.044371 0.063089 0.086217 0.113274 0.146746
2025-04-13 0.014500 0.026038 0.041437 0.062375 0.089086 0.121115 0.161542
2025-04-20 0.013018 0.025370 0.042546 0.066578 0.097894 0.136055 0.184844
2025-04-27 0.009945 0.021814 0.039293 0.064696 0.098722 0.141034 0.195997
2025-05-04 0.008737 0.020911 0.039585 0.067436 0.105424 0.153285 0.216087
2025-05-11 0.006901 0.018600 0.037535 0.066713 0.107405 0.159488 0.228653
2025-05-18 0.005856 0.017469 0.037113 0.068170 0.112230 0.169296 0.245753
2025-05-25 0.004873 0.016240 0.036381 0.069064 0.116220 0.178003 0.261493
2025-06-01 0.003337 0.013445 0.032754 0.065372 0.113638 0.177956 0.265955
2025-06-08 0.002109 0.010924 0.029396 0.062070 0.111787 0.179260 0.272795
2025-06-15 0.001719 0.010404 0.029599 0.064415 0.118177 0.191831 0.294623
2025-06-22 0.001324 0.009690 0.029339 0.065976 0.123451 0.202982 0.314759
2025-06-29 0.001137 0.009564 0.030210 0.069414 0.131554 0.218096 0.340273
2025-07-06 0.000729 0.008343 0.028671 0.068676 0.133341 0.224501 0.354280
2025-07-13 0.000670 0.008539 0.030147 0.073149 0.143080 0.242025 0.383247
2025-07-20 0.000359 0.007181 0.028003 0.071151 0.142834 0.245571 0.393494
2025-07-27 0.000283 0.007042 0.028617 0.074062 0.150198 0.259865 0.418303
2025-08-03 0.000144 0.006142 0.027263 0.073294 0.151755 0.265925 0.431994
2025-08-10 0.000088 0.005779 0.027178 0.074842 0.156965 0.277211 0.452851
2025-08-17 0.000044 0.005334 0.026799 0.075791 0.161205 0.287127 0.471887